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Thread: Global Warming?

  1. #241
    Moderator idesign's Avatar
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    visit-red-300x50PNG
    Thanks belgareth, I for one am

    weary of the Michael Moore style of "documentary".

  2. #242
    Moderator belgareth's Avatar
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    Same here, or the Al Gore

    ones!

    I'm so sick of all the lies and hype surrounding climate change that I could puke. The worst part is the

    number of intelligent people that are jumpling on the bandwagon without ever thinking it through. Perhaps it's a

    reflection of the sad state of scientific education these days?
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

  3. #243
    Moderator idesign's Avatar
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    Probably, but I think too its so

    rampantly political, and politics has a way of suspending reason.

    BTW, I was going to PM you, but could not find

    a way.

  4. #244
    Moderator belgareth's Avatar
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    PMs got shut off due to some

    quasi-political BS from a group of rather disgusting creatures, Sorry. You can email me: bobgarner(at)abln(dot)com.



    //RANT=ON//
    In the video they cover the political beginings of the IPCC and it explains a lot. It seems the

    IPCC was originally created by Margaret Thatcher in an attempt to discredit coal miners and remove their political

    pull. If their product was considered evil by the public their union would have less power and less sympathy in the

    event of a strike, something the coal miners did with some regularity. It worked but what she unleashed could be

    compared to Pandora's Box. The IPCC's mandate from the start was to convince the public that burning fossil fuels

    was harmful to the environment.

    You really can't fault them for doing what they were told to do. The point of

    it though is that people believe the IPCC with almost a religious fervor when they really are no more than a bunch

    of paid mouthpieces. Like any other political organ, they are going to do anything, by hook or by crook, to assure

    their jobs are safe and their empires grow. They've achieved their goals admirably.

    People complain about the

    oil companies' arguments and call them the enemy. They slam any of us who do not believe the IPCC and accuse us of

    being in the pay or under the spell of the oil companies. At least the oil companies are honest about it. The IPCC

    is pure fraud. And the oil companies DO have interests in non-petrolium ventures such as wind and solar power or

    tapping the huge methane and natural gas reserves under the oceans but the IPCC has only it's single function and

    empire to protect.

    //RANT=OFF//
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

  5. #245
    Moderator belgareth's Avatar
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    ScienceDaily (Mar. 10, 2007)

    — Severe climate changes during the last ice-age could have been caused by random chaotic variations on Earth

    and not governed by external periodic influences from the Sun. This has been shown in new calculations by a

    researcher at the Niels Bohr Institute, Copenhagen University.

    Several large international projects have

    succeeded in drilling ice-cores from the top of the Greenland inland ice through the more than 3 km thick ice sheet.

    The ice is a frozen archive of the climate of the past, which has been dated back all the way to the previous

    interglacial Eem-period more than 120.000 years ago.
    The ice archive shows that the climate has experienced very

    severe changes during the glacial period. During the glacial period there were 26 abrupt temperature increases of

    about 7-10 degrees. These glacial warm periods are named Dansgaard-Oeschger events after the two scientists first

    observing them.
    The global warming we experience presently will cause a temperature increase of perhaps 2-5 degrees

    in the next century if greenhouse gas emissions continue, researchers claim. This will lead to increased sea levels

    and more severe weather with terrible consequences. The temperature rise during the glacial period were much larger

    and happened much faster.
    Temperature increased by 10 degrees in less than 50 years with changes to the ocean

    currents and the whole ecosystem. These changes have caused sea level rises up to perhaps as much as 8 meters and

    large changes to the vegetation.
    Climate shifts looks periodic
    The 26 climate shifts are apparently

    periodic. They seem to occur with a period of 1470 years. Every now and then a period is skipped and the shifts

    occur 3-4000 years apart. Professor Peter Ditlevsen at the Niels Bohr Institute, Copenhagen University wanted to

    investigate the periodicity of the climate shifts. He asked: "Could it be that the shifts are chaotic and random,

    they just look periodic by pure coincidence. How probable is that?"
    Using mathematical models of the climate shifts

    he calculated the probability of the periodicity. He focused on the time intervals between the climate shifts. How

    regular are they really? As a baton, periodically beating, how far from the beating are the climate shifts? If the

    distances are perfectly periodic 100% is obtained. It turned out that the climate shifts hit the beats of the

    baton by 70%.
    Computer simulation
    He then had the computer spreading the shifts over the ice age randomly.

    He did this 1000 times with different random time intervals. In this he got between 40% and 90% right hits. The

    major part of the calculations was between 55% and 75%.
    Then he calculated the opposite assumption, that the

    climate shifts has a period. Again he made 1000 calculations, but this time the numbers came out between 80% and

    100%. The major part came out above 90%. But 90% is not the regularity for the real climate changes, they occur with

    70%.
    The conclusion drawn by Peter Ditlevsen is that the probability of hitting 70% is less if the climate shifts

    are periodic than if they are random. This is very important for understanding the cause of the climate changes and

    especially for predicting climate shifts. If they are random and chaotic they are fundamentally unpredictable.



    University of Copenhagen (2007, March 10). Climate Change: Could It Be Random?. ScienceDaily. Retrieved

    March 2, 2008, from http://www.sciencedaily.com­ /releases/2007/03/070309103123.htm
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

  6. #246
    Moderator belgareth's Avatar
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    ScienceDaily (Mar. 18, 2007)

    — Discussions on global warming often refer to 'global temperature.' Yet the concept is thermodynamically as

    well as mathematically an impossibility, says Bjarne Andresen, a professor at The Niels Bohr Institute, University

    of Copenhagen, who has analyzed this topic in collaboration with professors Christopher Essex from University of

    Western Ontario and Ross McKitrick from University of Guelph, Canada.

    It is generally assumed that the

    atmosphere and the oceans have grown warmer during the recent 50 years. The reason for this point of view is an

    upward trend in the curve of measurements of the so-called 'global temperature'. This is the temperature obtained

    by collecting measurements of air temperatures at a large number of measuring stations around the Globe, weighing

    them according to the area they represent, and then calculating the yearly average according to the usual method of

    adding all values and dividing by the number of points.
    Average without meaning
    "It is impossible to talk

    about a single temperature for something as complicated as the climate of Earth", Bjarne Andresen says, an an expert

    of thermodynamics. "A temperature can be defined only for a homogeneous system. Furthermore, the climate is not

    governed by a single temperature. Rather, differences of temperatures drive the processes and create the storms, sea

    currents, thunder, etc. which make up the climate".
    He explains that while it is possible to treat temperature

    statistically locally, it is meaningless to talk about a a global temperature for Earth. The Globe consists of a

    huge number of components which one cannot just add up and average. That would correspond to calculating the average

    phone number in the phone book. That is meaningless. Or talking about economics, it does make sense to compare the

    currency exchange rate of two countries, whereas there is no point in talking about an average 'global exchange

    rate'.
    If temperature decreases at one point and it increases at another, the average will remain the same as

    before, but it will give rise to an entirely different thermodynamics and thus a different climate. If, for example,

    it is 10 degrees at one point and 40 degrees at another, the average is 25 degrees. But if instead there is 25

    degrees both places, the average is still 25 degrees. These two cases would give rise to two entirely different

    types of climate, because in the former case one would have pressure differences and strong winds, while in the

    latter there would be no wind.
    Many averages
    A further problem with the extensive use of 'the global

    temperature' is that there are many ways of calculating average temperatures.
    Example 1: Take two equally large

    glasses of water. The water in one glass is 0 degrees, in the other it is 100 degrees. Adding these two numbers and

    dividing by two yields an average temperature of 50 degrees. That is called the arithmetic average.
    Example 2: Take

    the same two glasses of water at 0 degrees and 100 degrees, respectively. Now multiply those two numbers and take

    the square root, and you will arrive at an average temperature of 46 degrees. This is called the geometric average.

    (The calculation is done in degrees Kelvin which are then converted back to degrees Celsius.)
    The difference of 4

    degrees is the energy which drives all the thermodynamic processes which create storms, thunder, sea currents,

    etc.
    Claims of disaster?
    These are but two examples of ways to calculate averages. They are all equally

    correct, but one needs a solid physical reason to choose one above another. Depending on the averaging method used,

    the same set of measured data can simultaneously show an upward trend and a downward trend in average temperature.

    Thus claims of disaster may be a consequence of which averaging method has been used, the researchers point

    out.
    What Bjarne Andresen and his coworkers emphasize is that physical arguments are needed to decide whether one

    averaging method or another is needed to calculate an average which is relevant to describe the state of

    Earth.
    Reference: C. Essex, R. McKitrick, B. Andresen: Does a Global Temperature Exist?; J. Non-Equil. Thermod.

    vol. 32, p. 1-27 (2007).


    University of Copenhagen (2007, March 18). Researchers Question Validity Of A

    'Global Temperature'. ScienceDaily. Retrieved March 2, 2008, from

    http://www.sciencedaily.com­ /releases/2007/03/070315101129.htm
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

  7. #247
    Moderator belgareth's Avatar
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    A

    Brief History of Ice Ages and Warming


    Global

    warming started long before the "Industrial Revolution" and the invention of the internal combustion engine. Global

    warming began 18,000 years ago as the earth started warming its way out of the Pleistocene Ice Age-- a time

    when much of North America, Europe, and Asia lay buried beneath great sheets of glacial ice.
    Earth's climate and

    the biosphere have been in constant flux, dominated by ice ages and glaciers for the past several million

    years. We are currently enjoying a temporary reprieve from the deep freeze.
    Approximately every 100,000 years

    Earth's climate warms up temporarily. These warm periods, called interglacial periods, appear to last

    approximately 15,000 to 20,000 years before regressing back to a cold ice age climate. At year 18,000 and counting

    our current interglacial vacation from the Ice Age is much nearer its end than its beginning.
    Global warming during

    Earth's current interglacial warm period has greatly altered our environment and the distribution and

    diversity of all life. For

    example:

    Approximately 15,000

    years ago the earth had warmed sufficiently to halt the advance of glaciers, and sea levels worldwide began to

    rise.
    By 8,000 years ago the land

    bridge across the Bering Strait was drowned, cutting off the migration of men and animals to North

    America.
    Since the end of the Ice Age,

    Earth's temperature has risen approximately 16 degrees F and

    sea levels have risen a total of

    300 feet!
    Forests have returned where once there was only ice.






    Over the past 750,000

    years of Earth's history, Ice Ages have occurred at regular intervals, of approximately 100,000 years

    each.

    Courtesy of Illinois State

    Museum




    During ice ages our planet is cold, dry, and inhospitable--

    supporting few forests but plenty of glaciers and deserts. Like a spread of collosal bulldozers,

    glaciers have scraped and pulverized vast stretches of Earth's surface and completely destroyed entire regional

    ecosystems not once, but several times. During Ice Ages winters were longer and more severe and ice sheets grew to

    tremendous size, accumulating to thicknesses of up to 8,000 feet!. They moved slowly from higher elevations to

    lower-- driven by gravity and their tremendous weight. They left in their wake altered river courses, flattened

    landscapes, and along the margins of their farthest advance, great piles of glacial debris.
    During the last 3

    million years glaciers have at one time or another covered about 29% of Earth's land surface or about 17.14

    million square miles

    (44.38 million sq.

    km.
    ) . What did not lay beneath ice was a largely cold and desolate desert landscape, due in large

    part to the colder, less-humid atmospheric conditions that prevailed.
    During the Ice Age summers were short and

    winters were brutal. Animal life and especially plant life had a very tough time of it. Thanks to global warming,

    that has all now changed, at least temporarily.





    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/PageMill_I

    mages/lastgla_mod_sm.gif[/IMG]
    ( view full size

    map)

    The World 18,000 Years Ago
    Before "global

    warming" started 18,000 years ago most of the earth was a frozen and arid wasteland. Over half of earth 's surface

    was covered by glaciersor extreme

    desert
    . Forests were rare.
    Not a very fun place to

    live.
    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Pag

    eMill_Images/present_mod_sm.gif[/IMG]
    (view full size

    map)

    Our Present World
    "Global warming" over the last

    15,000 years has changed our world from an ice box to a garden. Today extreme

    deserts
    and glaciers have largely given way to grasslands, woodlands, and

    forests.
    Wish it could last forever, but . . . .





    In the 1970s concerned environmentalists like Stephen Schneider of

    the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado feared a return to another ice age due to

    manmade atmospheric pollution blocking out the sun.
    Since about 1940 the global climate did in fact appear

    to be cooling. Then a funny thing happened-- sometime in the late 1970s temperature declines slowed to a halt and

    ground-based recording stations during the 1980s and 1990s began reading small but steady increases in near-surface

    temperatures. Fears of "global cooling" then changed suddenly to

    "global warming,"-- the cited cause:

    manmade atmospheric pollution causing a

    runaway
    greenhouse effect.



    What does geologic history have to

    offer in sorting through the confusion?


    Quite a bit, actually.





    "If 'ice age' is used

    to refer to long, generally cool, intervals during which glaciers advance and retreat, we are still in one today.

    Our modern climate represents a very short, warm period between glacial advances."

    Illinois State

    Museum



    [SIZE=+3]P[/SI

    ZE]
    eriods of Earth warming and cooling occur in cycles. This is well understood, as is the fact that small-scale

    cycles of about 40 years exist within larger-scale cycles of 400 years, which in turn exist inside still larger

    scale cycles of 20,000 years, and so

    on.



    Example

    of regional variations in surface air temperature for the last 1000 years, estimated from a variety of sources,

    including temperature-sensitive tree growth indices and written records of various kinds, largely from western

    Europe and eastern North America. Shown are changes in regional temperature in ° C, from the baseline value for

    1900. Compiled by R. S. Bradley and J. A. Eddy based on J. T. Houghton et al., Climate Change: The IPCC Assessment,

    Cambridge UniversityPress, Cambridge, 1990 and published in EarthQuest, vol 5, no 1, 1991. Courtesy of Thomas

    Crowley, Remembrance of Things Past:

    Greenhouse Lessons from the Geologic

    Record




    Earth's climate was in a cool period from A.D. 1400 to about A.D. 1860, dubbed

    the "Little Ice Age." This period was characterized by harsh winters, shorter growing

    seasons, and a drier climate. The decline in global temperatures was a modest 1/2° C, but the effects of this

    global cooling cycle were more pronounced in the higher latitudes. The Little Ice Age has been blamed for a host of

    human suffering including crop failures like the "Irish Potato Famine" and the demise of the

    medieval Viking colonies in

    Greenland.

    Today we enjoy global temperatures which have warmed back to levels of the so called

    "Medieval Warm Period," which existed from approximately A.D. 1000 to A.D.

    1350.


    "...the Earth was

    evidently coming out of a relatively cold period in the 1800s so that warming in the past century may be part of

    this natural

    recovery."


    Dr.

    John R. Christy

    (leading climate and atmospheric science expert- U. of Alabama

    in Huntsville)

    (5)

    [

    COLOR=#470d05]G[/COLOR]
    lobal warming alarmists maintain that global temperatures have increased since

    about A.D. 1860 to the present as the result of the so-called "Industrial

    Revolution
    ,"-- caused by releases of large amounts of greenhouse gases (principally carbon

    dioxide)
    from manmade sources into the atmosphere causing a runaway "Greenhouse

    Effect
    ."
    Was man really responsible for pulling the Earth out of the Little Ice Age with his industrial

    pollution? If so, this may be one of the greatest unheralded achievements of the Industrial Age!
    Unfortunately, we

    tend to overestimate our actual impact on the planet. In this case the magnitude of the gas emissions involved, even

    by the most aggressive estimates of atmospheric warming by greenhouse gases, is inadequate to account for the

    magnitude of temperature increases. So what causes the up and down cycles of global climate change?



    Causes of Global Climate

    Change


    Climate change is controlled primarily by

    cyclical eccentricities in Earth's rotation and orbit, as well as

    variations in the sun's energy output.
    "Greenhouse

    gases"
    in Earth's atmosphere also influence Earth's temperature, but in a much smaller way. Human

    additions to total greenhouse gases play a still smaller role, contributing about

    0.2% - 0.3% to Earth's

    greenhouse effect.

    Major Causes of Global Temperature

    Shifts

    (1) Astronomical Causes

    (2) Atmospheric

    Causes

    • Heat retention: Due to atmospheric gases, mostly gaseous water

      vapor (not droplets), also carbon dioxide, methane, and a few other miscellaneous gases-- the

      "greenhouse effect"
    • Solar reflectivity: Due to

      white clouds, volcanic dust, polar ice caps

    (3) Tectonic

    Causes

    • Landmass distribution: Shifting continents

      (continental drift) causing changes in circulatory patterns of ocean currents. It

      seems that whenever there is a large land mass at one of the Earth's poles, either the north pole or south pole,

      there are ice ages.
    • Undersea ridge activity: "Sea floor

      spreading"
      (associated with continental drift) causing variations in ocean displacement.





    Playing with

    Numbers


    Global climate and temperature cycles are the result of

    a complex interplay between a variety of causes. Because these cycles and events overlap, sometimes compounding one

    another, sometimes canceling one another out, it is inaccurate to imply a statistically significant trend in climate

    or temperature patterns from just a few years or a few decades of data.
    Unfortunately, a lot of disinformation

    about where Earth's climate is heading is being propagated by "scientists" who use improper statistical methods,

    short-term temperature trends, or faulty computer models to make analytical and anecdotal projections about the

    significance of man-made influences to Earth's climate.
    During the last 100 years there have been

    two general cycles of warming and cooling recorded in the U.S. We are currently in the

    second warming cycle. Overall, U.S. temperaturesshow no significant warming trend over the last

    100 years
    (1). This has been well - established but not well -

    publicized.

    Each year

    Government press releases declare the previous year to be the "hottest year on record."

    The UN's executive summary on climate

    change, issued in January 2001
    , insists that the 20th century was the warmest in the last millennium.

    The news media distribute these stories and people generally believed them to be true. However, as most

    climatologists know, these reports generally are founded on ground-based temperature readings, which are misleading.

    The more meaningful and precise orbiting satellite data for the same period (which are generally not cited by the

    press) have year after year showed little or no warming.

    Dr. Patrick Michaels has demonstrated this effect is a

    common problem with ground- based recording stations, many of which originally were located in predominantly rural

    areas, but over time have suffered background bias due to urban sprawl and the encroachment of concrete and asphalt

    ( the "urban heat island

    effect"
    ). The result has been an upward distortion of increases in ground temperature over time(2).

    Satellite measurements are not limited in this way, and are accurate to within 0.1° C. They are widely

    recognized by scientists as the most accurate data available. Significantly, global temperature

    readings from orbiting satellites show no significant warming in the 18 years they have been continuously recording

    and returning data
    (1).

    A Matter of

    Opinion


    Has manmade pollution in the form of carbon

    dioxide (CO2) and other gases caused a runaway Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming?
    Before joining the mantra,

    consider the

    following:



    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFos

    sils/PageMill_Images/image160.gif[/IMG]

    Compiled by R.S. Bradley and J.A. Eddy based on J.T. Houghton et

    al., Climate Change: The IPCC Assessment, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1990 and published in EarthQuest,

    vo. 1, 1991.
    Courtesy of Thomas Crowley,

    Remembrance of Things Past:

    Greenhouse Lessons from the Geologic Record
    1. The

    idea that man-made pollution is responsible for global warming is not supported by historical fact. The period known

    as the Holocene Maximum is a good example-- so-named because it was the hottest period in human history. The

    interesting thing is this period occurred approximately 7500 to 4000 years B.P. (before present)-- long before

    humans invented industrial pollution.



    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/PageMill_Images/i

    mage167_sm.gif[/IMG]

    (view

    full-size image)

    Figure 1
    2. CO2 in our

    atmosphere has been increasing steadily for the last 18,000 years-- long before humans invented smokestacks (

    Figure 1
    ). Unless you count campfires and intestinal gas, man played no role in the

    pre-industrial increases.

    As illustrated in this chart of Ice Core data from the

    Soviet Station Vostok in

    Antarctica
    ,
    CO2 concentrations in earth's atmosphere move with temperature. Both temperatures and

    CO2 have been steadily increasing for 18,000 years. Ignoring these 18,000 years of data "global warming activists"

    contend recent increases in atmospheric CO2 are unnatural and are the result of only 200 years or so of human

    pollution causing a runaway greenhouse effect.
    Incidentally, earth's temperature and CO2 levels today have reached

    levels similar to a previous interglacial cycle of 120,000 - 140,000 years ago. From beginning to end this cycle

    lasted about 20,000 years. This is known as the Eemian Interglacial Period and the earth returned to a

    full-fledged ice age immediately afterward.




    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/PageMill_I

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    view full-size image

    Figure

    2

    3. Total human contributions to greenhouse

    gases
    account for only about 0.28% of the "greenhouse effect"
    (Figure 2).

    Anthropogenic (man-made) carbon dioxide

    (CO2) comprises about 0.117% of this total, and man-made sources of other gases ( methane, nitrous oxide (NOX),

    other misc. gases) contributes another 0.163%
    .
    Approximately 99.72% of the "greenhouse effect" is

    due to natural causes
    -- mostly water vapor and traces of other gases, which we can do nothing at all about.

    Eliminating human activity altogether would have little impact on climate change.




    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/PageMill_Ima

    ges/image191_sm.gif[/IMG]

    vie

    w full-size image

    Figure

    3

    4.If global

    warming is caused by CO2 in the atmosphere then does CO2 also cause increased sun activity too?

    This

    chart adapted after Nigel Calder (6) illustrates that variations insun

    activity
    are generally proportional to both variations in atmospheric

    CO2and atmospheric

    temperature (Figure 3).

    Put another way, rising Earth

    temperatures and increasing CO2 may be "effects" and our own sun the

    "cause".






    FU[COLOR=#00

    00a0]N[/COLOR]


    FAC[/CO

    LOR]
    TS about CARBON

    DIOXIDE

    Of the 186 billion

    tons of CO2 that enter earth's atmosphere each year from all sources, only 6 billion tons are from human activity.

    Approximately 90 billion tons come from biologic activity in earth's oceans and another 90 billion tons from such

    sources as volcanoes and decaying land

    plants.
    At 368 parts per million CO2 is

    a minor constituent of earth's atmosphere--

    less than 4/100ths of 1% of all gases

    present
    . Compared to former geologic times, earth's current atmosphere is

    CO2-

    impoverished
    .
    CO2 is

    odorless, colorless, and tasteless. Plants absorb CO2 and emit oxygen as a waste product. Humans and animals breathe

    oxygen and emit CO2 as a waste product. Carbon dioxide is a nutrient, not a pollutant, and all life-- plants and

    animals alike-- benefit from more of it. All life on earth is carbon-based and CO2 is an essential ingredient. When

    plant-growers want to stimulate plant growth, they introduce more carbon

    dioxide.
    CO2 that goes into the

    atmosphere does not stay there but is continually recycled by terrestrial plant life and earth's oceans-- the great

    retirement home for most terrestrial carbon dioxide.



    If we are in a

    global warming crisis today, even the most aggressive and costly proposals for limiting industrial carbon dioxide

    emissions would have a negligible effect on global

    climate!


    The case for a "greenhouse

    problem" is made by environmentalists, news anchormen , and special interests who make inaccurate and misleading

    statements about global warming and climate change. Even though people may be skeptical of such rhetoric initially,

    after awhile people start believing it must be true because we hear it so

    often.



    "We have to offer

    up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we may have. Each of

    us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest."


    Stephen Schneider

    (leading advocate of the global warming theory)
    (in interview for Discover magazine, Oct 1989)







    "In the United

    States...we have to first convince the American People and the Congress that the climate problem is

    real."


    former President

    Bill Clinton
    in a 1997 address to the United Nations






    Nobody is interested in

    solutions if they don't think there's a problem. Given that starting point, I believe it is appropriate to have an

    over-representation of factual presentations on how dangerous (global warming) is, as a predicate for opening up the

    audience to listen to what the solutions are...


    former Vice President Al Gore
    (now, chairman and

    co-founder of Generation Investment Management--
    a London-based business that sells carbon credits)
    (in

    interview with Grist

    Magazine


    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/W

    VFossils/PageMill_Images/pdf_logo.gif[/IMG]
    May 9, 2006, concerning his book, An Inconvenient Truth)






    "In the long run, the

    replacement of the precise and disciplined language of science by the misleading language of litigation and advocacy

    may be one of the more important sources of damage to society incurred in the current debate over global

    warming."


    Dr. Richard S.

    Lindzen

    (leading climate and atmospheric science expert- MIT) (3)







    "Researchers pound the

    global-warming drum because they know there is politics and, therefore, money behind it. . . I've been critical of

    global warming and am persona non

    grata.
    "


    Dr. William

    Gray

    (Professor of Atmospheric Sciences at Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado and

    leading expert of hurricane prediction )
    (in an interview for the Denver Rocky Mountain News, November 28,

    1999)




    "Scientists

    who want to attract attention to themselves, who want to attract great funding to themselves, have to (find a) way

    to scare the public . . . and this you can achieve only by making things bigger and more dangerous than they really

    are."


    Petr Chylek
    (Professor of Physics and Atmospheric Science, Dalhousie University, Halifax,

    Nova Scotia)
    Commenting on reports by other researchers that Greenland's glaciers are melting.
    (Halifax

    Chronicle-Herald
    , August 22, 2001) (8)






    "Even if the theory of global

    warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing -- in terms of economic policy and environmental

    policy."


    Tim Wirth , while U.S. Senator, Colorado.
    After a short stint as United Nations

    Under-Secretary for Global Affairs
    (4)
    he now serves as President, U.N. Foundation, created by

    Ted Turner and his $1 billion "gift"






    "No matter if the

    science is all phony, there are collateral environmental benefits.... Climate change [provides] the greatest chance

    to bring about justice and equality in the world."


    Christine Stewart, Minister of the

    Environment of Canada

    recent quote from the Calgary Herald




    Unraveling the Earth's Temperature

    Record


    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/PageMill_Images/image194.gif[/IM

    G]

    photo by: Vin

    Morgan

    [COLOR

    =#0000ff]Palaeo Environment (Ice Cores) Field

    Work
    Because accumulating layers of glacial ice

    display annual bands which can be dated, similar to annual rings of a tree, the age of ice core samples can be

    determined. Continuous ice cores from borings as much as two miles long have been extracted from permanent glaciers

    in Greenland, Antarctica, and Siberia. Bubbles of entrapped air in the ice cores can be analyzed to determine not

    only carbon dioxide and methane concentrations, but also atmospheric temperatures can be determined from analysis of

    entrapped hydrogen and oxygen.
    Based on historical air temperatures inferred from ice core analyses from the

    Antarctic Vostok station in 1987, relative to the average global temperature in 1900 it has been determined that

    from 160,000 years ago until about 18,000 years ago Earth temperatures were on average about 3° C cooler than

    today.
    Except for two relatively brief interglacial episodes, one peaking about 125,000 years ago (Eemian

    Interglacial), and the other beginning about 18,000 years ago (Present Interglacial), the Earth has been under siege

    of ice for the last 160,000 years.




    C

    ompiled by R.S. Bradley and J.A. Eddy based on J. Jouzel et al., Nature vol. 329. pp. 403-408, 1987 and published in

    EarthQuest, vol. 5, no. 1, 1991.
    Courtesy of Thomas Crowley,

    Remembrance of Things Past:

    Greenhouse Lessons from the Geologic

    Record

    As illustrated in this final

    graph, over the past 800,000 years the Earth has undergone major swings in warming and cooling at approximately

    100,000 year intervals, interrupted by minor warming cycles at shorter intervals. This represents periods of glacial

    expansion, separated by distinct but relatively short-lived periods of glacial retreat.




    T

    emperature data inferred from measurements of the ratio of oxygen isotope ratios in fossil plankton that settled to

    the sea floor, and assumes that changes in global temperature approximately tracks changes in the global ice

    volume
    . Based on data from J. Imbrie, J.D. Hays, D.G. Martinson, A. McIntyre, A.C. Mix, J.J. Morley,

    N.G. Pisias, W.L. Prell, and N.J. Shackleton, in A. Berger, J. Imbrie, J. Hats, G. Kukla, and B. Saltzman, eds.,

    Milankovitch and Climate, Dordrecht, Reidel, pp. 269-305, 1984.Courtesy of Thomas Crowley,

    Remembrance of Things Past:

    Greenhouse Lessons from the Geologic

    Record




    The Polar Ice Cap

    Effect


    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/PageMill_Images/image195.gif[/IM

    G]A
    s long as the continent of Antarctica exists at the southern pole of our planet we probably

    will be repeatedly pulled back into

    glacial ice ages
    . This occurs because ice caps, which cannot attain great thickness over open ocean,

    can and do achieve great thickness over a polar continent-- like Antarctica. Antarctica used to be located near the

    equator, but over geologic time has moved by

    continental drift to its

    present location at the south pole. Once established, continental polar ice caps act like huge cold sinks, taking

    over the climate and growing bigger during periods of reduced solar output. Part of the problem with shaking off the

    effects of an ice age is once ice caps are established, they cause solar radiation to be reflected back into space,

    which acts to perpetuate global cooling. This increases the size of ice caps which results in reflection of even

    more radiation, resulting in more cooling, and so on.
    Continental polar ice caps seem to play a particularly

    important role in ice ages when the arrangement of continental land masses restrict the free global circulation of

    equatorial ocean currents. This is the case with the continents today, as it was during the

    Carboniferous Ice

    Age
    when the supercontinent Pangea stretched from pole to pole 300 million years ago.




    Stopping Climate

    Change


    Putting things in perspective, geologists

    tell us our present warm climate is a mere blip in the history of an otherwise cold Earth. Frigid Ice Age

    temperatures have been the rule, not the exception, for the last couple of million years. This kind of world is not

    totally inhospitable, but not a very fun place to live, unless you are a polar bear.
    Some say we are

    "nearing the end of our minor interglacial

    period"
    , and may in fact be on the brink of another Ice Age. If this is true, the last thing we

    should be doing is limiting carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere, just in case they may have a positive

    effect in sustaining present temperatures. The smart money, however, is betting that there is some momentum left in

    our present warming cycle. Environmental advocates agree: resulting in a shift of tactics from the "global

    cooling"
    scare of the 1970s to the "global warming" threat of the 1980s and 1990s.
    Now, as we begin the

    21st century the terminology is morphing toward"climate change," whereby no matter the direction of

    temperature trends-- up or down-- the headlines can universally blame humans while avoiding the necessity of

    switching buzz-words with the periodicity of solar cycles. Such tactics may, however, backfire as peoples' common

    sensibilities are at last pushed over the brink.
    Global climate cycles of warming and cooling have been a natural

    phenomena for hundreds of thousands of years, and it is unlikely that these cycles of dramatic climate change will

    stop anytime soon. We currently enjoy a warm Earth. Can we count on a warm Earth forever? The answer is most

    likely... no.
    Since the climate has always been changing and will likely continue of its own accord to change in

    the future, instead of crippling the U.S. economy in order to achieve small reductions in global warming effects due

    to manmade additions to atmospheric carbon dioxide, our resources may be better spent making preparations to adapt

    to global cooling and global warming, and the inevitable consequences of fluctuating ocean levels, temperatures, and

    precipitation that accompany climatic change.
    Supporting this view is British scientist

    Jane Francis, who

    maintains:
    " What we are seeing really is just another interglacial phase within our big icehouse

    climate."
    Dismissing political calls for a global effort to reverse climate change, she said, " It's really

    farcical because the climate has been changing constantly... What we should do is be more aware of the fact that it

    is changing and that we should be ready to adapt to the

    change."



    [IMG]http://www.geocraft

    .com/WVFossils/PageMill_Images/image89.gif[/IMG]
    [IMG

    ]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/PageMill_Images/image90.gif[/IMG]

    THIS PAGE

    BY:

    Monte Hieb


    This site last updated October 5,

    2007
    PreviousTable

    of

    Contents
    [IMG]http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Pag

    eMill_Images/image38.gif[/IMG]
    ...EMAIL COMMENTS TO:

    mhieb@geocraft.com


    [B][/B

    ]

    References
    (1)

    A scientific Discussion of Climate

    Change
    , Sallie Baliunas, Ph.D., Harvard- Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics and Willie Soon, Ph.D.,

    Harvard- Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics.
    (2)

    The Effects of Proposals for Greenhouse Gas

    Emission Reduction
    ; Testimony of Dr. Patrick J. Michaels, Professor of Environmental Sciences,

    University of Virginia, before the Subcommittee on Energy and Environment of the Committee on Science, United States

    House of Representatives
    (3) Statement

    Concerning Global Warming
    -- Presented to the Senate Committee on Environmental and Public Works, June

    10, 1997, by Dr. Richard S. Lindzen, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    (4) Excerpts

    from,"Our

    Global Future: Climate Change
    ", Remarks by Under Secretary for Global affairs, T. Wirth, 15 September

    1997. Site maintained by The Globe - Climate

    Change Campaign

    (5) Testimony

    of John R. Christy
    to the Committee on Environmental and Public Works, Department of Atmospheric

    Science and Earth System Science Laboratory, University of Alabama in Huntsville, July 10, 1997.
    (6) The Carbon

    Dioxide Thermometer and the Cause of Global Warming; Nigel Calder,-- Presented at a seminar SPRU (Science and

    Technology Policy Research), University of Sussex, Brighton, England, October 6, 1998.
    (7) Variation in cosmic ray

    flux and global cloud coverage: a missing link in solar-climate relationships; H. Svensmark and E.

    Friis-Christiansen, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar- Terrestrial Physics, vol. 59, pp. 1225 - 1232 (1997).
    (8)

    First International Conference on Global Warming and the Next Ice Age; Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova

    Scotia, sponsored by the Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society and the American Meteorological Society,

    August 21-24, 2001.



    Additional

    Reading



    Understanding Common Climate Claims
    : Dr. Richard S. Lindzen; Draft paper to appear in

    the Proceedings of the 2005 Erice Meeting of the World Federation of Scientists on Global

    Emergencies.
    Geol

    ogical Constraints on Global Climate Variability:
    Dr. Lee C. Gerhard-- A variety of natural climate

    drivers constantly change our climate. A slide format presentation. 8.5

    MB.
    Thoughts of Global Warming: "The

    bottom line is that climatic change is a given. It is inescapable, it happens. There is no reason to be very

    concerned about it or spend bazillions of dollars to try and even things

    out.
    NOAA Paleoclimatology: An

    educational trip through earths distant and recent past. Also contains useful information and illustrations relating

    to the causes of climate change.
    Cracking the Ice

    Age:
    From the PBS website-- NOVA online presents a brief tour of the causes of global

    warming.
    Little Ice

    Age (Solar Influence - Temperature):
    From the online magazine, "CO2

    Science."
    Solar Variability and Climate

    Change:
    by Willie Soon, January 10,

    2000
    Earth's Fidgeting

    Climate:
    NASA Science News "It may surprise many people that science cannot deliver an unqualified,

    unanimous answer about something as important as climate change"
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

  8. #248
    Moderator idesign's Avatar
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    You've been doing your homework

    Bel. A+ and a gold star.

    I wonder at what point the media and certain politicians will get a clue? There's a

    lot on the record with some of these folks and it'll be interesting to see how they get the egg off their

    collective faces. How do you back out of blindly following a politically correct hoax?

  9. #249
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    I saw a recent article (if I can

    find it again I'll post it) about how the current global waring will melt a lot of the polar ice (which is

    happening now). This melting will send fresh water into the oceans reducing their salinity. This in turn would

    destroy the "Arctic conveyor" (which circulates warm water, tempering the climate) leading to a new ice age.

    (the article is a lot more detailed than my post!)
    Freedom begins when you tell Mrs. Grundy to go fly a kite.
    --Lazarus Long

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    Oh, thank you, thank you, thank

    you. I always wanted a gold star and never got one before. Yipeee!

    I saw that article too, Jim. A lot of it

    seemed predicated on the 'fact' that global warming is real and, as you may have guessed by now, I don't believe

    it is.

    The above articles were found while I was searching for something a friend told me about. It seems the

    same measures that were used to determine that several previous years set warming records showed that last year was

    the coldest on record, completely reversing more than 50 years of temperature increases. I personally did not see

    the article so cannot vouche for it's accuracy or anything else. After reading the above articles I find myself

    discounting both claims.
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

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    Quote Originally Posted by belgareth View Post
    Oh, thank

    you, thank you, thank you. I always wanted a gold star and never got one before. Yipeee!

    I saw that article too,

    Jim. A lot of it seemed predicated on the 'fact' that global warming is real and, as you may have guessed by now,

    I don't believe it is.

    The above articles were found while I was searching for something a friend told me

    about. It seems the same measures that were used to determine that several previous years set warming records showed

    that last year was the coldest on record, completely reversing more than 50 years of temperature increases. I

    personally did not see the article so cannot vouche for it's accuracy or anything else. After reading the above

    articles I find myself discounting both claims.


    Basically what Jim is saying, is that the left is

    changing the name of the hoax from global warming to climate change. Regardless of the weather, it is caused by the

    living standards of the people of the USA, and the Marxists must control how we live to save the planet. As usual it

    is typical Marxist propaganda to propagate the one world vision under elitist Marxist socialism.

  12. #252
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    Quote Originally Posted by tounge View Post
    Basically

    what Jim is saying, is that the left is changing the name of the hoax from global warming to climate change.

    Regardless of the weather, it is caused by the living standards of the people of the USA, and the Marxists must

    control how we live to save the planet. As usual it is typical Marxist propaganda to propagate the one world vision

    under elitist Marxist socialism.
    Yes, I realized that. And you'll get no argument from me about it.

    However, the discussion was about the science of global warming, not the fact that our freedom is steadily being

    stripped from us.

    So, where are the well armed wolves who want to stop that from happening?
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

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    Quote Originally Posted by belgareth View Post
    However,

    the discussion was about the science of global warming, not the fact that our freedom is steadily being stripped

    from us.


    Well it is pretty clear that the two go hand and hand. This has been in place for a

    good many years.

    Global warming baloney is not about climate change. It is about taking away freedom from a free

    scociety. That is the crux of the debate.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mtnjim View Post
    I saw a

    recent article (if I can find it again I'll post it) about how the current global waring will melt a lot of the

    polar ice (which is happening now). This melting will send fresh water into the oceans reducing their salinity. This

    in turn would destroy the "Arctic conveyor" (which circulates warm water, tempering the climate) leading to a new

    ice age. (the article is a lot more detailed than my post!)
    This is how they will back out of their

    former erroneous positions.

    "See, we were right, and now there is a backlash, and a new and different danger

    confronts us."

  15. #255
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    Beating a dead horse can often

    be entertaining so I'm going to beat this one.

    There were two unrelated articles recently that pertain. One

    was something I have harped about and somebody finally looked at it for some other project. They discovered that

    snow melts faster when it is soot covered. That includes arctic ice and glaciers. Soot from the industrialized world

    is a problem as well as soot from forest fires and wood heating and many other sources including volcanic ash

    fallout. It can raise the temperature of the snow and surrounding area by as much as 1.2 degrees. While that

    doesn't sound like much it has a huge impact when coupled with the dirty snow absorbing more solar energy. Combined

    they result in far faster than anticipated snow melt and explains much that the global warming models do not.



    The other is kind of obscure but has huge ramifications. Carbon Dioxide in the upper atmosphere is causing greater

    cooling of the upper atmosphere! This causes the air to become denser and sink. In turn it makes sea level air

    denser. Without any change in the actual energy in the total air mass the apparent temperature increases. What the

    long term net effect is nobody knows. It could go many ways. A denser air mass might result in greater thermal

    radiation or it might result in higher retained heat values. Both are being looked at but nothing conclusive yet.



    Now back to my favorite rant...

    We need to stop the knee jerk and politically motivated responses and start

    really focusing on research to determine what is really happening and why!
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

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    Quote Originally Posted by belgareth View Post
    We

    need to stop the knee jerk and politically motivated responses and start really focusing on research to determine

    what is really happening and why!
    So do you admit the possibility that there might be some unprecedented

    alteration in the natural weather cycle- thereby creating the possibility of unknown consequences? Whatever the

    cause may be?

    "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few. Or the one."

  17. #257
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    Well, hello! Good to see you



    I admit that we do not know what is going on and I believe that tampering with a system with our limited

    knowledge is plain foolish. We screw up more often than not when we try to alter nature. I've never supported

    allowing the destruction of our environment. But I do not support random running in circles trying to solve one

    manufactured crises after the other.

    While this topic has died out here, I have not stopped reading and studying

    on the subject and find myself ever more sceptical about man caused global climate change.
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

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    Useful Debate Strategy for

    Climate Change and Economics
    Attached Images Attached Images


  19. #259
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    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

  20. #260
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    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

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    With the "Global Warming" bill

    passing the House in Congress, and Obama ready to pounce on another chunk of authoritarian control, bumping this

    thread is timely.



    http://www.epw.senate.gov/public/ind...1-fc38ed4f85e3

    Washington, DC: Fifty-nine additional scientists from around the world have been added

    to the U.S. Senate Minority Report of dissenting scientists, pushing the total to over 700 skeptical international

    scientists – a dramatic increase from the original 650 scientists featured in the initial December 11, 2008

    release. The 59 additional scientists added to the 255-page Senate Minority report since the initial release 13

    ½ weeks ago represents an average of over four skeptical scientists a week. This updated report – which

    includes yet another former UN IPCC scientist – represents an additional 300 (and growing) scientists and

    climate researchers since the initial report’s release in December 2007.

    The over 700 dissenting

    scientists are now more than 13 times the number of UN scientists (52) who authored the media-hyped IPCC 2007

    Summary for Policymakers. The 59 additional scientists hail from all over the world, including Japan, Italy, UK,

    Czech Republic, Canada, Netherlands, the U.S. and many are affiliated with prestigious institutions including, NASA,

    U.S. Navy, U.S. Defense Department, Energy Department, U.S. Air Force, the Philosophical Society of Washington (the

    oldest scientific society in Washington), Princeton University, Tulane University, American University, Oregon State

    University, U.S. Naval Academy and EPA.

    “Unfortunately, Climate Science has become Political

    Science…It is tragic that some perhaps well-meaning but politically motivated scientists who should know

    better have whipped up a global frenzy about a phenomena which is statistically questionable at best,” Austin

    told the minority staff on the Environment and Public Works Committee on March 2, 2009.

    “Whether the ice

    caps melt, or expand --- whatever happens --- the AGW (anthropogenic global warming) theorists claim it confirms

    their theory. A perfect example of a pseudo-science like astrology.” - Mathematical Physicist Dr. Frank

    Tipler, professor at Tulane University has authored 58 peer-reviewed publications and five books.



    And

    where is the objective reporting from the likes of Time, Newsweek, the NY Times and the Wash Post? The "debate"

    occurs in the manner of the cartoon strip I posted above. As tongue alluded above, the GW scare is just a vehicle

    that carries hidden within it the desire of its proponents to establish an elite authoritarian global rule. See

    next post.




    ‘Journalistic malpractice’

    Chemist Dr. Mark L. Campbell, a professor

    of chemistry at the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis, MD, who has published numerous studies in the Journal of the

    American Chemical Society on topics such as methane, squarely blames the media for promoting unfounded climate

    fears. “The sky is not burning, and to claim that it is amounts to journalistic malpractice…the press

    only promotes the global warming alarmists and ignores or minimizes those of us who are skeptical,” Chapman

    wrote on January 13, 2009.

    “Scientists across the globe are catching on -- global warming is not real

    science. There is a sucker born every minute who believes in it, and Al Gore is playing the role of P.T.

    Barnum,” Chemist Max S. Strozier declared on December 22, 2009 in an email to the minority staff of the

    Environment and Public Works Committee. Strozier spent 26 years specializing in chemical laboratory analysis, served

    as a U.S. Department of Defense aerospace chemist and is a former lecturer at San Jose State University and the

    University of Texas.


    Some questions that should be asked:

    Why do GW proponents support what is

    clearly junk science even as a majority of reputable scientists express clearly researched refutations?

    Why is

    the Liberal/Progressive dominated press so intent on propagating a lie?

    Why do otherwise intelligent people

    submit themselves to a group-think mentality when it comes to certain policy issues, such as climate, economics and

    taxation?

    Why does the Left seek to make policy via the court system, rather than the legislature as the

    Constitution provides?

    What are some common threads running through these policy positions?

    See next post for

    thought food.


  22. #262
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    Former Vice President Al

    Gore declared that the Congressional climate bill will help bring about “global governance.”

    "A

    climate change response must have at its heart a redistribution of wealth and resources,” said Emma Brindal, a

    climate justice campaigner coordinator for Friends of the

    Earth.




    http://www.climatedepot.com/a/1893/G...<br /> rnance

    Even their own scientists are calling this bill crap. Make you wonder what's really behind the

    push to ram this through?

    NASA Warming Scientist Hansen Blasts Obama's 'Counterfeit' Climate Bill -

    Calls it 'a monstrous absurdity...less than

    worthless!'


    http://www.climatedepot.com/a/1875/N...than-worthless

    And Gore lauds the Obama team with

    this:

    “Just two weeks ago, the House of Representatives passed the Waxman-Markey climate bill,”

    Gore said, noting it was “very much a step in the right direction.” President Obama has pushed for the

    passage of the bill in the Senate and attended a G8 summit this week where he agreed to attempt to keep the Earth's

    temperatures from rising more than 2 degrees C.


    **keep the earth's temperature from

    rising!!!!**

    There are loads of other links on the pages referenced for those who care to read. I'm going home

    before my head explodes.


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    This is how the peasant girl understands it ...
    Temperture rise- is it real?
    According to

    a recent report of the UN sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global warming is

    "unequivocal", or a fact; and "very likely," mankind is largely to blame. Some who differ with this conclusion,

    especially in regard to the human factor, concede that cities may be heating up because they are growing in size.

    Moreover, concrete and steel readily absorb the sun's heat and tend to cool down slowly at night. But urban

    readings, skeptics say, do not reflect the trend in rural areas and can distort global statistics. On the other

    hand,for example,people who live on an island off the coast of Alaska, have seen changes with their own eyes. The

    people of the village travel across sea ice to the mainland to hunt caribou and moose. Rising tempertures, though,

    are making the traditional lifestyle impossible because the currents and ice conditions have changed and the freeze

    up of the Chukchi Sea has changed. ( The sea used to freeze up at the end of October, but now does not freeze until

    late December.

    In 2007, warming was also evident in the

    Northwest Passage, which was fully open for the first time in recorded history. "What we have seen this year fits

    the profile of lengthening melt seasons" said a senior scientist for the National Snow and data Center in the

    U.S.

    THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT - Vital for life... A reason given

    for such chamges is an intensification of the greenhouse effect, natural phemomena vital for life on earth. When

    energy from the sum reaches the earth, about 70 percent is absorbed, heating air,land, and sea. If it were not for

    this mechanism, the average surface temperture would be about minus 18 degrees celcius. Eventually, the absorbed

    heat is released back into space as infrared radiation, thus preventing the earth from overheating. But when

    pollutants change the composition of the atmosphere, less heat escapes. This can cause earth's tempertures to rise.

    Gases that contribute to the greenhouse effect include carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, and methane, as well as water

    vapor. The atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases has increased markedly over the past 250 years, since the

    start of the industrial revolution and the increased use of fossil fuels, such as coal and oil. Another

    greenhouse-enhancing factor seems to be the rising population of farm animals, whose digestive processes produce

    methane and nitrous oxide. Some researchers point to other causes of warming that they say occurred before humans

    could have influenced climate.

    Just another Fluctuation?

    Skeptics of human- induced warming point out that earth's temperture has undergone substantial fluctuations in the

    past. They point to the so-called ice ages, when the earth was supposedly much cooler than it is now, and in support

    of natural warming, they cite evidence that cold regions, such as Greenland, at one time supported vegetation that

    prefers warm areas. Of course, scientists concede that the further back they go, the more their certainty about

    climate diminishes.

    What may have caused tempertures to vary

    significantly before human influence was a factor? Possible causes include sunspots and solar flares, which

    correlate with fluctuations in solar energy output. Additionally, earth's orbit moves in cycles that take many

    thousands of years and that affect our planet's distance from the sun. ther is also the influence of volcanic dust

    and changes in oceanic currents. I NEED COFFEE ... BE BACK LATER
    There are 3 kinds of people ...Those who MAKE things happen Those who WATCH things happen - Those who WONDER ......
    WHAT HAPPENED ???

  24. #264
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    Oh no .... I just

    wrote a two page reply and it didn't send or save

    Guess I know what I'm doing on my lunch-break

    ......

    Wearing mones and hunting down the first maintenance guy I see
    There are 3 kinds of people ...Those who MAKE things happen Those who WATCH things happen - Those who WONDER ......
    WHAT HAPPENED ???

  25. #265
    Moderator belgareth's Avatar
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    Perthgurl,

    The IPCC has

    never had any real credibility because it was formed with the mandate of proving that the earth is warming as a

    result of man's influence. They already had a bias which automatically removes any scientific validity. It is

    further damaged by the fact that it is a political, not scientific, organization. Their goals are not scientific at

    all. Those scientists working for the IPCC are tasked with proving a given point of view, therefore their work

    cannot be accepted as valid.

    There is a group of more than 30,000 scientifically educated people who have signed

    a petition denouncing global warming. These are well educated, scientifically oriented, independent people. There is

    another group of more than 700 climate scientists, many former IPCC, NASA, or NOAA employees who were involved in

    climate research, that publicly state APW is a fraud. These people often have degrees as high as Ph.D in things like

    Meteorology. Astrophysics, Geology and Biology. Yet the press doesn't print their opinions while repeating many

    often mistated assumptions and half truths.

    I've been sceptical about APW almost from the begining and the

    more I learn, the less I believe about it. The whole thing was started on a thing called the hockey stick graph,

    which has long been discredited, and has been snowballing every since. To date, there is no solid evidence that the

    temperature changes of the earth have anything to do with man and sunstantial evidence to argue that it does not.



    It's easy to find information that purportedly supports the global warming theories because the press is all over

    it. Contradictory research has been suppressed and denounced. Yet when we look at the supporting evidence, it is all

    equivical. Take the computer models they talk about so much. Climate has so many variables that our models cannot

    predict the weather two weeks out. Yet these people claim to be able to predict the climate years out? Do you know

    what the margin for error is on those models on the short term? High enough to make them utterly uselss. On the long

    term the have no meaning whatsoever.

    I am all for cleaning up our planet, the mess we have made of the

    environment is inexcusable. But I am not going to support a hair-brained theory that will cause starvation to

    millions of people. And yes, it will cause starvation and increased poverty.
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

  26. #266
    Moderator Mtnjim's Avatar
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    Perthgurl,

    I'm going to guess

    you're in Oz.

    Let me explain something to you. 40% of the American public believes that evolution is a

    hoax.
    Freedom begins when you tell Mrs. Grundy to go fly a kite.
    --Lazarus Long

  27. #267
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mtnjim View Post
    Perthgurl,

    I'm going to guess you're in Oz.

    Let me explain something to you. 40&#37;

    of the American public believes that evolution is a hoax.



    But I wouldn't say

    hoax, just a still as yet unproven theory, which requires quite an intellectual stretch to embrace.

    And I would say your 40% is a low number, esp if respondents were pressed to explain how they are descended from

    paramoebacilliadudes.

    "NO!" cried Martha, "the chimp is NOT a part of the family, I don't care how much he looks

    like your cousin Larry!".

    (well, maybe some allowances can be made...)


    Perthgurl, thanks for the post,

    you're thinking, don't stop reading. Also, see my post re: forum issues and your writing/editing problem.

    Oh, here's your coffee...


  28. #268
    Moderator idesign's Avatar
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    Posted by Henry Payne (The Detroit News) on Tue, Aug 11, 2009 at 12:17 AM

    Sen. Debbie Stabenow, Energy Leader (National Review, 08.10.09)

    Detroit, Mich. - Michigan

    just experienced its coldest July on record; global temperatures haven't risen in more than a decade; Great Lakes

    water levels have resumed their 30-year cyclical rise (contrary to a decade of media scare stories that they were

    drying up due to global warming), and polls show that climate change doesn't even make a list of Michigan voters'

    top-ten concerns.
    Yet in an interview with the Detroit News Monday, Senator Debbie Stabenow (D., Mich.) -

    recently appointed to the Senate Energy Committee - made clear that fighting the climate crisis is her top

    priority.
    "Climate change is very real," she confessed as she embraced cap and trade's massive tax increase on

    Michigan industry - at the same time claiming, against all the evidence, that it would not lead to an increase in

    manufacturing costs or energy prices. "Global warming creates volatility. I feel it when I'm flying. The storms are

    more volatile. We are paying the price in more hurricanes and tornadoes."
    And there are sea monsters in Lake

    Michigan. I can feel them when I'm boating.


  29. #269
    Moderator belgareth's Avatar
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    A slow hurricane season is

    predicted as well, despite the claims by the global warming crowd.

    I found it interesting that the global

    warming crowd blames hurricane numbers and intensity on climate change when the hurricane experts believe exactly

    the opposite.
    Last edited by belgareth; 08-13-2009 at 03:21 PM.
    To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.

    Thomas Jefferson

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    The underlying problem is

    that trying to pin down the cause of global warming is about the same as watching rocks age. You're dealing with

    changes on a million-year scale, whereas we puny humans have only existed for a speck of that time. Sure, science

    can give us some answers but not the whole picture. The History channel has been showing a pretty good series called

    The Universe which has the best ever chronology of the Earth. My point is that at one time the planet was

    indistinguishable from the others. That it's habitable for us now is no reason it will always be, I admit. My real

    concern from the very beginning has been

    this:

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090828/...sci_ocean_junk

    I do however have a talking

    point (and I haven't had the time to read previous posts so apologies if this is a rerun)

    - Has any

    corroboration between solar cycles and/or lunar cycles with global warming been studied?
    "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few. Or the one."

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