I seriously doubt Kerry will
win the election. The media seem to be doing their darndest to paint Kerry as breathing down Bush's neck, but in
driving from Florida to Texas and back, and in speaking to a lot of people, I haven't heard of much support for
Kerry at all at the grass roots level.
It's sort of like the violence in Iraq. Very few people over there are
actually being killed (in a country of 24 million, the deaths are only in the low thousands). Most people go about
their lives and their situations are gradually improving. Do the media report that? No. They focus on the
terrorist attacks.
But you can tell there is less and less for the media to write about because every new story
recaps the previous three stories.
Take the situation with Bush's tax cut. Some media reports claim that it
favored the rich. However, two thirds of the tax cut benefitted middle class and low-income people, and two-thirds
of the people who benefitted from the tax cut were middle class and low-income people.
How is it, then, that the
tax-cut "favored" the rich? That's just political spin being picked up by the press.
Most sources seem to
agree that the tax-cut didn't create jobs as promised, but they don't bother to explain how raising taxes on the
rich and lowering taxes still further for the low-income and middle class people will create more jobs. If your tax
bill is cut by $1,000 more, how many people will you plan to hire in the coming year?
There is no meat to the
media coverage. No meat usually means no upset.
Kerry needs a miracle to win the election. I don't see one
arriving in the next week, but then, a week can be a very long time.
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